Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Wizards vs. Warriors
Closed March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$383K
Liquidity
$400K
Bid / Ask
6% / 7%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Wizards vs. Warriors
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -7.0pp
14% → 7%
Mar 28, 2026
Current
7% YES (-7.0pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Warriors" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $383K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Wizards vs. Warriors." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1672203
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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