ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5
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Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

43%YES
57%NO

Volume 24h

$111K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

50% / 60%

Spread

10.00pp

Expert Signal

43%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

49% YES (+4.0pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 43%99%
Buy YES@ 43¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 57¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $111K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 10.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1739288