ForecastMind

Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028?

2028

Consensus Probability

3%
Weak15%
Polymarket5% avg · 38 markets
Kalshi44% avg · 1 market

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%$490Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$441Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$406Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%$378Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$337Kstandalone
PolymarketWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$294Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$213Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$160Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$138Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$136Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$114Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$93Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%$81Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$78Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$64Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%$61Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$48Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%$48Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%$43Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?5%$35Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$34Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%$33Kstandalone
PolymarketWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20%$32Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$31Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$28Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%$27Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$23Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%$22Kstandalone
PolymarketWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$22Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?12%$21Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?18%$17Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%$17Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$16Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$12Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$12Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%$10Kstandalone
PolymarketWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?44%$7Kstandalone
PolymarketWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?56%$515standalone
KalshiWill Republican win the Presidency in 2028?44%$187Kstandalone
Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028? — 3% Consensus | ForecastMind