Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Closes July 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
6% / 10%
Spread
3.60pp
Expert Signal
8%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
22 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: +11.6pp
6% → 18%
Mar 26, 2026
Peak probability
18% YES — highest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
9% YES (-8.8pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-4.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 3.60 percentage points. The market closes on July 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1591781
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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