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Markets/Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
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Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Closes July 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

18%YES
82%NO

Volume 24h

$602

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

4% / 32%

Spread

27.70pp

Expert Signal

18%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 18%99%
Buy YES@ 18¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 82¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $602 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 27.70 percentage points. The market closes on July 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1591782