Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$53
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
54% / 67%
Spread
13.00pp
Expert Signal
61%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
34 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?" at 61% YES / 39% NO. In the last 24 hours, $53 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 61%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 61%, NO 39%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1592430
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