StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$142K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
33 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
6% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
4% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-10.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $142K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676520
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