ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?
Share on X

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

74%YES
27%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

74% / 76%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

79%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+7.1pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

March

Full event →
above $1,800 on March 23?
100%
above $1,900 on March 23?
100%
above $2,000 on March 23?
99%
above $1,800 on March 24?
99%
above $1,900 on March 24?
98%
above $2,000 on March 24?
96%
above $2,100 on March 23?
86%
above $2,100 on March 24?
71%
$2,400 in March?
30%
above $2,200 on March 24?
28%
above $2,200 on March 23?
13%
above $2,300 on March 24?
7%
above $2,400 on March 24?
3%
above $2,500 on March 24?
1%
above $2,300 on March 23?
1%
between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 23?
0%
between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?
0%
above $2,600 on March 24?
0%
above $2,400 on March 23?
0%
above $2,700 on March 24?
0%
less than $1,800 on March 23?
0%
above $2,500 on March 23?
0%
above $2,800 on March 24?
0%
above $2,600 on March 23?
0%

24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+9.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 74%99%
Buy YES@ 74¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.9%
½ Kelly0.9%
Buy NO@ 27¢

-1.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?" at 74% YES / 26% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 79%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 74%, NO 26%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628563

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

~

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.

⊕

Event Cluster

All markets about the same event across venues.

↓

Download 90d CSV

Full price history for your own analysis.