Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 23?
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
11% / 15%
Spread
3.60pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?
March
25 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: +10.9pp
2% → 12%
Mar 23, 2026
Current
12% YES (+10.9pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.6%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 23?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 3.60 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688331
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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