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Markets/US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
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US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Market Price

28%YES

FM Estimate

26%
NO72%
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$9K
Bid / Ask25% / 27%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesApr 25, 2026
Macro fundamentals+1.5pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-4.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047408