US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Market Price
FM Estimate
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 17 active outcome markets. May 15, 2026: 78%, May 5, 2026: 66%, April 30, 2026: 53%.
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $552 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 66%. The bid-ask spread is 22.00pp. The market closes on May 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047423