EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$68K
Liquidity
$159K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
19 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
8% YES
Mar 10, 2026
Trough probability
1% YES — lowest in period
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -6.6pp
10% → 3%
Mar 19, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.3pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-13.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $68K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/666495
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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