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Markets/Will Solana reach $100 in March?
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Will Solana reach $100 in March?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

37%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$32K

Bid / Ask

35% / 38%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

14%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Solana reach $160 in March?

March

Full event →
$72,000 March 23-29?
86%
$80,000 by December 31, 2026?
75%
$74,000 March 23-29?
54%
$100 in March?
37%
$76,000 March 23-29?
29%
$78,000 March 23-29?
13%
$80,000 in March?
10%
$110 in March?
9%
$80,000 March 23-29?
6%
$85,000 in March?
3%
$120 in March?
3%
$82,000 March 23-29?
2%
$90,000 in March?
1%
$130 in March?
1%
$95,000 in March?
0%
$140 in March?
0%
$100,000 in March?
0%
$105,000 in March?
0%
$110,000 in March?
0%
$150 in March?
0%
$160 in March?
0%
$150,000 in March?
0%
less than $64,000 on March 24?
0%
above $80,000 on March 25?
0%
above $80,000 on March 24?
0%
between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 24?
0%
between $80,000 and $82,000 on March 24?
0%

27 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-15.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Trough probability

30% YES — lowest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

47%

Mar 1, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 2, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

66%

Mar 4, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

46%

Mar 13, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

64%

Mar 15, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

30%

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -43.5pp

74% → 30%

Mar 23, 2026

Peak probability

80% YES — highest in period

Mar 17, 2026

Current

36% YES (-2.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 37%99%
Buy YES@ 37¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 64¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana reach $100 in March?" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Solana reach $100 in March?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1473201

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Venue Divergence

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Correlated Markets

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Event Cluster

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