Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 11:35 PM UTC

Closes March 24, 2026

⬡ Cross-venue entity

Polymarket Price

77%YES

23%NO

Volume 24h

$18K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

75% / 77%

Spread

1.90pp

Expert Signal

77%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?

March

Full event →

24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+2.3pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 77%99%

Buy YES@ 77¢

Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.3%

½ Kelly0.6%

Buy NO@ 23¢

-1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 1.90 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628629

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