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Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 125 active outcome markets. Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the f: 99%, Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the fir: 99%, turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvi: 93%.
Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1656575