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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

26%YES
75%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

25% / 28%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

21%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-19.4pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?

March

Full event →
above $1,800 on March 24?
100%
above $2,000 on March 24?
100%
between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?
100%
above $1,700 on March 25?
100%
above $1,800 on March 25?
100%
above $1,700 on March 27?
99%
above $1,900 on March 25?
99%
above $1,800 on March 27?
98%
above $1,800 on March 29?
98%
above $2,000 on March 25?
96%
above $1,900 on March 27?
94%
above $1,900 on March 29?
93%
above $2,000 on March 27?
83%
above $2,000 on March 29?
78%
above $2,100 on March 25?
59%
above $2,100 on March 27?
55%
above $2,100 on March 29?
55%
above $2,200 on March 29?
30%
above $2,200 on March 27?
25%
above $2,300 on March 29?
13%
above $2,200 on March 25?
10%
above $2,300 on March 27?
9%
above $2,400 on March 29?
5%
above $2,400 on March 27?
2%
above $2,500 on March 29?
2%
above $2,500 on March 27?
2%
above $2,600 on March 29?
1%
above $2,300 on March 25?
1%
above $2,400 on March 25?
0%
above $2,600 on March 27?
0%
above $2,500 on March 25?
0%
above $2,200 on March 24?
0%
above $2,600 on March 25?
0%
above $2,700 on March 25?
0%
above $2,700 on March 24?
0%

35 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 26%99%
Buy YES@ 26¢
Edge

+2.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 75¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+2.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662857

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