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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 27?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 27?

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 06:48 PM UTC

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES

98%NO

Volume 24h

$661

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

1% / 3%

Spread

1.70pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-11.1pp

confidence40%

methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

March

above $2,100 on March 24?

above $1,900 on March 24?

above $1,800 on March 24?

above $2,000 on March 24?

above $1,700 on March 25?

above $1,800 on March 25?

above $1,900 on March 25?

above $1,700 on March 27?

above $1,800 on March 27?

above $1,800 on March 29?

above $2,000 on March 25?

above $1,900 on March 27?

above $1,900 on March 29?

above $2,000 on March 27?

above $2,000 on March 29?

above $2,100 on March 25?

above $2,100 on March 27?

above $2,100 on March 29?

above $2,200 on March 29?

above $2,200 on March 27?

$2,400 in March?

above $2,300 on March 29?

above $2,200 on March 25?

above $2,300 on March 27?

above $2,400 on March 29?

above $2,500 on March 29?

above $2,400 on March 27?

2%

above $2,500 on March 27?

above $2,600 on March 29?

above $2,300 on March 25?

above $2,400 on March 25?

above $2,600 on March 27?

above $2,500 on March 25?

above $2,400 on March 24?

above $2,200 on March 24?

above $2,300 on March 24?

less than $1,900 on March 24?

above $2,600 on March 24?

above $2,500 on March 24?

between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 24?

above $2,600 on March 25?

between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 24?

above $2,700 on March 25?

above $2,700 on March 24?

above $2,800 on March 24?

45 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

%

1%Market: YES 2%99%

Buy YES@ 2¢

-11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢

Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly11.1%

½ Kelly5.6%

Buy NO—+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 11.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 27?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $661 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662860

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Venue Divergence

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Correlated Markets

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Event Cluster

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