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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 27?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 27?

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

99%YES
1%NO

Volume 24h

$990

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

99% / 99%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.9pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢
Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly13.0%
½ Kelly6.5%
Buy NO@ 1¢

-13.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 13.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 27?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $990 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662847