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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 27?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 27?

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

11%YES
90%NO

Volume 24h

$74K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

10% / 11%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

6%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-47.5pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

March

Full event →
above $2,100 on March 24?
100%
above $1,900 on March 24?
100%
above $1,800 on March 24?
100%
above $2,000 on March 24?
100%
above $1,700 on March 25?
100%
above $1,800 on March 25?
99%
above $1,900 on March 25?
99%
above $1,700 on March 27?
99%
above $1,800 on March 27?
98%
above $1,800 on March 29?
97%
above $2,000 on March 25?
96%
above $1,900 on March 27?
94%
above $1,900 on March 29?
92%
above $2,000 on March 27?
84%
above $2,000 on March 29?
79%
above $2,100 on March 25?
62%
above $2,100 on March 27?
56%
above $2,100 on March 29?
55%
above $2,200 on March 29?
31%
above $2,200 on March 27?
27%
$2,400 in March?
19%
above $2,300 on March 29?
13%
above $2,200 on March 25?
12%
above $2,300 on March 27?
11%
above $2,400 on March 29?
5%
above $2,500 on March 29?
3%
above $2,400 on March 27?
2%
above $2,500 on March 27?
2%
above $2,600 on March 29?
2%
above $2,300 on March 25?
1%
above $2,400 on March 25?
0%
above $2,600 on March 27?
0%
above $2,500 on March 25?
0%
above $2,400 on March 24?
0%
above $2,200 on March 24?
0%
above $2,300 on March 24?
0%
less than $1,900 on March 24?
0%
above $2,600 on March 24?
0%
above $2,500 on March 24?
0%
between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 24?
0%
above $2,600 on March 25?
0%
between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 24?
0%
above $2,700 on March 25?
0%
above $2,700 on March 24?
0%
above $2,800 on March 24?
0%

45 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 11%99%
Buy YES@ 11¢
Edge

+4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 90¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+4.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 27?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $74K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662858

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