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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?

Closes April 8, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
40%FIS
2ppvs market 43%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -2.5pp below current market price; market at 42% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.7% ↓, ETH -1.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.7% ↓, ETH -1.1% ↓
-2.5pp
Live compute12:34 PM

Polymarket Price

43%YES
57%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

40% / 43%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

38%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-11.7pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817342

Outcome Markets35 markets

This event has 35 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 8?: 100%.

price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?

43%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 43%99%
Buy YES@ 43¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 57¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this