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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 8?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 8?

Closes April 8, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
2%FIS

Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.7% ↓, ETH -1.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.7% ↓, ETH -1.1% ↓
-2.5pp
Live compute12:34 PM

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$20K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-4.8pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 8?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817347

Outcome Markets35 markets

This event has 35 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 8?: 100%.

price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 8?

2%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%
½ Kelly2.4%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this