EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$98K
Liquidity
$73K
Bid / Ask
75% / 77%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
76%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
19 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
88% YES
Mar 15, 2026
Trough probability
76% YES — lowest in period
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -9.0pp
92% → 83%
Mar 24, 2026
Peak probability
96% YES — highest in period
Mar 21, 2026
Current
76% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $98K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1592412
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.