Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 22?
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$126K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
11% / 14%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
28%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22?
March
26 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Trough probability
20% YES — lowest in period
Mar 22, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
24%
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: -34.5pp
58% → 24%
Mar 22, 2026
Peak probability
58% YES — highest in period
Mar 22, 2026
Current
36% YES (+8.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 22?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $126K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1678571
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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