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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

97%YES
3%NO

Volume 24h

$32K

Liquidity

$26K

Expert Signal

97%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

March

Full event →
above $64,000 on March 21?
100%
above $62,000 on March 21?
100%
above $60,000 on March 21?
100%
above $66,000 on March 21?
100%
above $62,000 on March 22?
100%
above $64,000 on March 22?
99%
above $68,000 on March 21?
98%
above $68,000 on March 22?
97%
above $70,000 on March 21?
84%
above $70,000 on March 22?
69%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
36%
above $72,000 on March 22?
18%
$80,000 in March?
17%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
13%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
4%
above $72,000 on March 21?
4%
$85,000 in March?
4%
above $74,000 on March 22?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
1%
$90,000 in March?
1%
above $76,000 on March 22?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
1%
above $78,000 on March 22?
1%
$72,000 on March 20?
1%
$95,000 in March?
1%
$100,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 20?
0%
$110,000 in March?
0%
above $74,000 on March 21?
0%
$105,000 in March?
0%
$150,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
0%
above $80,000 on March 22?
0%
above $76,000 on March 21?
0%
above $82,000 on March 22?
0%
$73,000 on March 20?
0%
$74,000 on March 20?
0%
above $80,000 on March 21?
0%
above $78,000 on March 21?
0%
$76,000 on March 20?
0%
$78,000 on March 20?
0%
$75,000 on March 20?
0%
$77,000 on March 20?
0%

43 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 97%99%
Buy YES@ 97¢
Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO@ 3¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?" at 97% YES / 3% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 97%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 97%, NO 3%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598799

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