Markets/Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?

Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES

95%NO

Volume 24h

$965

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

3% / 6%

Spread

2.50pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?

March

Full event →

24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

17% YES

Mar 13, 2026

Current

17% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 5%99%

Buy YES@ 5¢

Edge

+9.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+9.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $965 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 2.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1473195

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