Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
1.10pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
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11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+17.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 1.10 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1562208
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