Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
27% / 35%
Spread
8.00pp
Expert Signal
31%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026…
2026
51 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1562258
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