Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
1% / 3%
Spread
1.60pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026…
2026
51 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.60 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1562262
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