Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$624
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
4% / 6%
Spread
2.60pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026…
2026
51 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $624 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 2.60 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1562261
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