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Markets/Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?
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Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?

Market Price

3%YES

FM Estimate

3%
NO97%
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$17K
Bid / Ask2% / 4%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesMay 10, 2026
Macro fundamentals+1.5pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on May 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047138