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Markets/Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?
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Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?

Market Price

4%YES

FM Estimate

4%
NO96%
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$19K
Bid / Ask4% / 5%
Spread1.30pp
ClosesMay 10, 2026
Macro fundamentals+1.5pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 1.30pp. The market closes on May 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047139