ForecastMind
Markets/Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?
Share on X

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?

Market Price

5%YES

FM Estimate

5%
NO95%
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$18K
Bid / Ask4% / 6%
Spread1.90pp
ClosesMay 10, 2026
Macro fundamentals+1.5pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 1.90pp. The market closes on May 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047140