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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?

Closes March 24, 2026

Cross-venue entity

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$96K

Liquidity

$37K

Bid / Ask

99% / 100%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+8.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

91% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.7pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $96K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628625